Mathematics
Risk Balancer
Owns all five coins, each carrying the same risk, and keeps the whole portfolio at a set volatility.
Return
+33.41%
holding Bitcoin: +38.21%
Worst fall
-12.69%
Bitcoin: -8.20%
Sharpe ratio
2.72
return per unit of risk · Bitcoin 3.11
Trades
121
$72.30 in fees · 89% invested on average
Portfolio value, from $10,000
- Risk Balancer
- Just hold Bitcoin
What it held 24 hours agoDelayed 24 h
- BTC28%
- ETH17%
- SOL16%
- BNB24%
- XRP16%
- Cash0%
- Portfolio volatility 34% a year → scaled to the 35% target: 100% invested.
- Equal risk: BTC 28%, ETH 17%, SOL 16%, BNB 24%, XRP 16%.
Fall from its highest point
How it decides
- Each coin is weighted by the inverse of its volatility over the last 10 days: a coin twice as wild gets half the money.
- The whole portfolio is then scaled so its expected volatility is 35% a year (Bitcoin alone is often 50%+). The rest stays in cash.
- Rebalances once a day.
Its decisions, up to a day ago
Oct 27, 08:00 AM · BTC 28%, ETH 17%, SOL 16%, BNB 24%, XRP 16%
Portfolio volatility 34% a year → scaled to the 35% target: 100% invested.
Equal risk: BTC 28%, ETH 17%, SOL 16%, BNB 24%, XRP 16%.
Oct 25, 08:00 AM · BTC 25%, ETH 15%, SOL 14%, BNB 23%, XRP 15%
Portfolio volatility 38% a year → scaled to the 35% target: 92% invested.
Equal risk: BTC 25%, ETH 15%, SOL 14%, BNB 23%, XRP 15%.
Oct 23, 08:00 AM · BTC 23%, ETH 14%, SOL 13%, BNB 22%, XRP 13%
Portfolio volatility 41% a year → scaled to the 35% target: 85% invested.
Equal risk: BTC 23%, ETH 14%, SOL 13%, BNB 22%, XRP 13%.
Oct 22, 08:00 AM · BTC 21%, ETH 13%, SOL 12%, BNB 20%, XRP 13%
Portfolio volatility 44% a year → scaled to the 35% target: 79% invested.
Equal risk: BTC 21%, ETH 13%, SOL 12%, BNB 20%, XRP 13%.
Oct 20, 08:00 AM · BTC 23%, ETH 14%, SOL 12%, BNB 20%, XRP 13%
Portfolio volatility 42% a year → scaled to the 35% target: 83% invested.
Equal risk: BTC 23%, ETH 14%, SOL 12%, BNB 20%, XRP 13%.
Oct 15, 08:00 AM · BTC 23%, ETH 14%, SOL 14%, BNB 18%, XRP 14%
Portfolio volatility 42% a year → scaled to the 35% target: 84% invested.
Equal risk: BTC 23%, ETH 14%, SOL 14%, BNB 18%, XRP 14%.
Oct 9, 08:00 AM · BTC 26%, ETH 17%, SOL 17%, BNB 20%, XRP 16%
Portfolio volatility 36% a year → scaled to the 35% target: 97% invested.
Equal risk: BTC 26%, ETH 17%, SOL 17%, BNB 20%, XRP 16%.
Oct 8, 08:00 AM · BTC 25%, ETH 18%, SOL 18%, BNB 23%, XRP 16%
Portfolio volatility 30% a year → scaled to the 35% target: 100% invested.
Equal risk: BTC 25%, ETH 18%, SOL 18%, BNB 23%, XRP 16%.
Oct 6, 08:00 AM · BTC 26%, ETH 21%, SOL 15%, BNB 23%, XRP 15%
Portfolio volatility 29% a year → scaled to the 35% target: 100% invested.
Equal risk: BTC 26%, ETH 21%, SOL 15%, BNB 23%, XRP 15%.
Oct 4, 08:00 AM · BTC 28%, ETH 20%, SOL 14%, BNB 24%, XRP 14%
Portfolio volatility 33% a year → scaled to the 35% target: 100% invested.
Equal risk: BTC 28%, ETH 20%, SOL 14%, BNB 24%, XRP 14%.
Oct 2, 08:00 AM · BTC 27%, ETH 20%, SOL 14%, BNB 22%, XRP 12%
Portfolio volatility 37% a year → scaled to the 35% target: 95% invested.
Equal risk: BTC 27%, ETH 20%, SOL 14%, BNB 22%, XRP 12%.
Sep 29, 08:00 AM · BTC 21%, ETH 19%, SOL 13%, BNB 19%, XRP 11%
Portfolio volatility 43% a year → scaled to the 35% target: 82% invested.
Equal risk: BTC 21%, ETH 19%, SOL 13%, BNB 19%, XRP 11%.
Sep 24, 08:00 AM · BTC 19%, ETH 17%, SOL 13%, BNB 19%, XRP 9%
Portfolio volatility 46% a year → scaled to the 35% target: 76% invested.
Equal risk: BTC 19%, ETH 17%, SOL 13%, BNB 19%, XRP 9%.
Sep 22, 08:00 AM · BTC 20%, ETH 17%, SOL 13%, BNB 21%, XRP 10%
Portfolio volatility 43% a year → scaled to the 35% target: 81% invested.
Equal risk: BTC 20%, ETH 17%, SOL 13%, BNB 21%, XRP 10%.
Sep 19, 08:00 AM · BTC 26%, ETH 17%, SOL 14%, BNB 22%, XRP 10%
Portfolio volatility 39% a year → scaled to the 35% target: 89% invested.
Equal risk: BTC 26%, ETH 17%, SOL 14%, BNB 22%, XRP 10%.
Sep 16, 08:00 AM · BTC 32%, ETH 18%, SOL 18%, BNB 21%, XRP 11%
Portfolio volatility 33% a year → scaled to the 35% target: 100% invested.
Equal risk: BTC 32%, ETH 18%, SOL 18%, BNB 21%, XRP 11%.
Sep 14, 08:00 AM · BTC 31%, ETH 18%, SOL 18%, BNB 17%, XRP 15%
Portfolio volatility 34% a year → scaled to the 35% target: 100% invested.
Equal risk: BTC 31%, ETH 18%, SOL 18%, BNB 17%, XRP 15%.
Sep 12, 08:00 AM · BTC 22%, ETH 16%, SOL 16%, BNB 17%, XRP 12%
Portfolio volatility 43% a year → scaled to the 35% target: 82% invested.
Equal risk: BTC 22%, ETH 16%, SOL 16%, BNB 17%, XRP 12%.
Sep 10, 08:00 AM · BTC 22%, ETH 19%, SOL 16%, BNB 18%, XRP 13%
Portfolio volatility 40% a year → scaled to the 35% target: 88% invested.
Equal risk: BTC 22%, ETH 19%, SOL 16%, BNB 18%, XRP 13%.
Sep 6, 08:00 AM · BTC 21%, ETH 17%, SOL 13%, BNB 19%, XRP 12%
Portfolio volatility 43% a year → scaled to the 35% target: 82% invested.
Equal risk: BTC 21%, ETH 17%, SOL 13%, BNB 19%, XRP 12%.
| When | Coin | Side | Amount | Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 08:00 AM | BTC | buy | $307.97 | $79,806.71 |
| Oct 26, 08:00 AM | XRP | buy | $315.27 | $1.28 |
| Oct 26, 08:00 AM | BNB | buy | $378.11 | $738.66 |
| Oct 26, 08:00 AM | SOL | buy | $319.22 | $100.73 |
| Oct 25, 08:00 AM | ETH | buy | $310.96 | $2,348.00 |
| Oct 25, 08:00 AM | BTC | buy | $319.49 | $80,672.84 |
| Oct 23, 08:00 AM | BTC | buy | $294.02 | $81,579.52 |
| Oct 22, 08:00 AM | BTC | sell | $304.44 | $82,239.46 |
| Oct 19, 08:00 AM | BNB | buy | $361.87 | $726.85 |
| Oct 16, 08:00 AM | XRP | sell | $332.39 | $1.34 |
| Oct 16, 08:00 AM | BNB | sell | $327.33 | $731.12 |
| Oct 16, 08:00 AM | ETH | sell | $374.15 | $2,455.08 |
| Oct 15, 08:00 AM | SOL | sell | $363.72 | $103.28 |
| Oct 15, 08:00 AM | BTC | sell | $390.30 | $81,541.33 |
| Oct 14, 08:00 AM | ETH | sell | $277.37 | $2,511.58 |
| Oct 13, 08:00 AM | BTC | sell | $296.28 | $83,870.89 |
| Oct 12, 08:00 AM | BTC | buy | $300.07 | $83,991.52 |
| Oct 9, 08:00 AM | BNB | sell | $409.02 | $745.11 |
| Oct 8, 08:00 AM | SOL | buy | $364.14 | $114.94 |
| Oct 8, 08:00 AM | ETH | sell | $294.42 | $2,568.42 |
Simulated with virtual money on past prices, fees and slippage included. Not advice, not a managed service.